New York Times 2024 Election Prediction. Fivethirtyeight, which uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes, says trump wins 52 times out of 100 in its simulations of the 2024 race. 10, but the 2024 presidential election is already in the bag — at least according to allan lichtman, the.

Ap photo/alex brandon, erin schaff/the new york times via ap, pool through monday, nov. Despite losing the election, mr.